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2024-12-13 04:50:20

Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau: If Trump imposes a 25% tariff, Canada will respond.The yield of 10-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 4 basis points. Investors were concerned about the rising oil price and the US Treasury's supply this week. At the end of new york on Monday (December 9), the yield of 10-year US benchmark treasury bonds rose by 4.44 basis points to 4.1973%, and the intraday trading was in the range of 4.1336%-4.1973%. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 2.26 basis points to 4.1265%, and intraday trading was in the range of 4.0933%-4.1307%. The yield spread of three-month Treasury bonds /10-year US bonds rose by 4.684 basis points to -21.027 basis points. The yield spread of 02/10-year US bonds rose by 2.147 basis points to +6.867 basis points. The yield of US 10-year inflation-protected treasury bonds (TIPS) rose by 2.51 basis points to 1.9215%.At the end of the year, the scale of basic industry trusts increased by nearly 50% in a single month, and collective trusts ushered in the peak of issuance, especially basic industry products. According to incomplete statistics of public information, the newly established asset management trust products increased by 23.83% in November, and the newly established scale increased by 109.72%. Among them, the scale of the establishment of basic industry trusts has increased by nearly 50%. According to industry observers, the above situation is mainly influenced by factors such as the year-end impact scale and the hot capital market, which drives the hidden bond swap. (Securities Times)


Chief negotiator of Volkswagen: After today's negotiations, it is obvious that we are still far from the solution.White House official: Biden talked with King Abdullah of Jordan on Monday.Real estate assets usher in the value "anchor". The pricing mechanism of public offering REITs needs to be improved, the pricing logic of public offering REITs continues to improve, and real estate assets usher in the value "anchor". In recent years, the public offering REITs market has developed rapidly, and its pricing logic has gradually matured, providing a transparent market-oriented pricing platform for infrastructure assets to enter the capital market-not only setting a benchmark for real estate transactions and valuation in the primary market, but also enhancing the pricing discovery function of assets through the circulation in the secondary market. Insiders suggest that in order to really play the role of public offering REITs as the "anchor" of real estate market price, it is necessary to improve the market mechanism in many aspects, including optimizing pricing rules, strengthening information disclosure and promoting investor education. (SSE)


Congressional Budget Office (CBO): In October and November 2024 (that is, the first two months of fiscal year 2025), it is estimated that the federal budget deficit will total $622 billion. This amount is $242 billion more than the deficit in the same period of the previous fiscal year.Barclays: There is a high degree of uncertainty in the US interest rate forecast in 2025. Based on the baseline prospect of a soft landing of the US economy in 2025, Barclays interest rate strategists predict that the yields of 2-year and 10-year government bonds will close at 3.75% and 4.25% respectively next year, and the yield difference between 2s10s will widen by about 50 basis points. According to the report, interest rate cuts should push interest rates down, while longer-term yields are under pressure from factors such as rising neutral interest rates, high interest rate volatility, inflation risk premium and net bond expansion. But the incoming Trump administration will bring "great uncertainty".The application of AI continues to deepen and the prosperity of the sector continues to improve. Recently, a number of artificial intelligence companies have intensively released their latest products, and the related concept sectors in the A-share market are active. Analysts believe that overseas AI applications are growing strongly, and the growth potential of domestic AI applications is expected to explode. On the one hand, the performance of the core AI application companies in US stocks has grown rapidly, further strengthening the AI narrative logic; On the other hand, domestic AI application scenarios are more extensive and have achieved good application results in many fields such as education and office. It is suggested to focus on the growth and liquidity of domestic AI applications.

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